Participating Funds Singapore Moving Forward

Participating Funds Singapore Moving Forward

Insurance companies will be showing lowered illustrated rates after 1st July 2021. Although there is no real impact because the rates are illustrated after all, you might be wondering why is this happening? I think the most important question that you have will be this.

“Will this affect my returns in the years to come?”

Participating Funds Insurance Singapore 2020
Participating Funds Insurance Singapore 2020. Source: Business Times.

 

What is a Participating Fund?

To understand your returns better, you first need to understand what is a participating fund. You can take a look at LIA: Guide to Participating Fund. I will be summarizing some of the points in the guide.

Participating policies (such as endowment, life, retirement) are life insurance policies which provide both guaranteed and non-guaranteed benefits. The aim of a participating policy is to provide stable medium to long-term returns through the combination of guaranteed benefits and non-guaranteed bonuses. Participating funds can invest in a range of assets, including equities, in search of potentially higher returns.

This means that the participating fund need not be conservative. Equity positions in the 5 companies (as shown above) is around 30% of the entire fund. However, we need to note that insurer need to provide a guaranteed benefits.

 

The Search For Guaranteed Benefits

To back the guaranteed returns of participating policies, insurers typically invest around 70% with bonds (Side note: investing in bonds does not mean that having guaranteed returns). In the persistent low interest environment (plus the RBC2), it becomes an problem for insurers. I believe (this is my guess) that insurance companies might offer newer plans with lower guaranteed benefits in future.

Participating Funds Singapore Moving Forward
Participating Funds Singapore Moving Forward

 

Will It Affect My Overall Returns

That being said, I believe the overall returns for participating funds will improve. This is because insurers has already shown trends to shift more of the assets into equity (read my last article on the data).

However, this would mean that we need to be understand returns on a participating policy may also be volatile in future.

 

Final Thoughts

I do not think that having a lower guaranteed benefit is necessarily bad. This is because when the participating policy has a lower guaranteed benefit, it means it only needs a lower proportion of assets goes into bonds. This will free up some capital to invest in other assets such as equity. This investment mix might provide greater potential/returns for long term investment.

As mentioned above, we need to be understand returns on a participating policy may also be volatile in future. You should be instead focus on your financial needs and whether these plans (participating or not) can serve you in your financial planning.

 

Chengkok is a licensed Financial Services Consultant since 2012. He is an Investment and Critical Illness Specialist. Wealthdojo was created in 2019 to educate and debunk “free financial advice” that was given without context.  

Feel Free To Reach Out To Share Your Thoughts.

Contact: 94316449 (Whatsapp) chengkokoh@gmail.com (Email)
Telegram: Wealthdojo [Continuous Learning Channel]
Reviews: About Me

The views and opinions expressed in this publication are those of the author and do not reflect the official policy or position of any other agency, organisation, employer or company. Assumptions made in the analysis are not reflective of the position of any entity other than the author.

Technical Mambo Jambo: RBC2

This section is only for those that are interested in the technical stuff.

Insurer are required to adopt RBC2 from March 2020. Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) expects the guaranteed cash flows from assets invested by the Par Fund to match the guaranteed insurance liabilities, i.e. the guaranteed benefits of the par policies. Insurers are required to hold higher capital requirements if that is not the case.

As we are in a persistent low interest environment, it would mean that the insurer have to hold even more bond positions to match the guaranteed benefits. Thus, reducing their ability to invest in the equity market. Thus, potentially reducing overall returns.

As a result, we might see new participating policies with lower guaranteed benefits. As explained above, it may be a good thing and a blessing in disguise.

Here is a 1 hour video to explain the mambo jumbo.

3 pieces of money advice no one ever wants to hear

I’m a financial planner and these are 3 pieces of money advice no one ever wants to hear

I remember my mom telling me to eat more vegetables when I was younger. At that time, I absolutely hated broccoli and only ate it because I can only play with my playstation after that. Years later, I can only assume eating broccoli was a great decision because I don’t really fall sick as often as my peers. I did not appreciate my mom’s nagging advice (I mean who did at that time) until years later.

Turns out that nagging found its’ way into adulthood. As a financial planner, I’m constantly giving money advice that no one wants to hear. But those who listened and applied the concepts tend to have better cashflow, protection and investment portfolio.

You might not like it, but it is for your own good.

3 pieces of money advice no one ever wants to hear
3 pieces of money advice no one ever wants to hear

 

#1: You Got To Save To Have Money To Invest

“I want to invest but investing more than $100/month is too much because…”

To set the context, these are people with good monthly income of around $3000 to $6000. I find it scary to have so many conversations with people who have issues setting aside money every single month BUT wants to invest. It is like wanting to bake a chocolate cake with no chocolate. Often, not having a Level #2: Abundant Surplus Creator set up is one of the main cause of failure.

Saving more than you need will buy you opportunity and freedom in the future. The usual guideline is to set aside at least 25% of your take home salary. This 25% will buy you opportunity and also freedom that you desire.

 

#2: Have A Backup Plan

“You will fail in life 33% of the time. Do you have a backup plan?”

Cancer hits 1 out of 3 people in Singapore. Each and every of us have a 33% chance of our income source robbed away when we are unable to work when we are ill. If you are lucky and detected it early, the effects may be temporary. However, if it is a major critical illness, the effects will be longer term in nature.

With COVID-19 still looming over our heads, I think it is clear that the next war we will be fighting is a Health War. No one likes to imagine the worst cause situation but if something really happens, you will be glad that you have a backup plan Level 4: Aegis Of War aka insurance especially medical and critical illness coverage.

Other forms of backup includes having adequate emergency funds.

 

#3: Don’t Time The Market. Invest For The Long Term

“I want to wait until the market crash (like in March 2020) and invest.”

You will be waiting for a long time. Before March 2020, it was Sept 2008. Before Sept 2008, it was April 2000. From 2000 to 2021, S&P500 is up roughly 189% with a CAGR of around 6%. It is certainly very easy to look back in 2008 or 2020 to say that it is the best time to invest BECAUSE it has already happened.

It is virtually impossible to predict the market. Investing may be all sunshine in 2020. However, it is not as fun and sexy as you think it is. The recent pull back has shattered some confidence in the market and you might be wondering what to do next.

Build a strategic investment plan and stick to it. We want to invest in companies that is of value and growing and hold it until it rewards us. You can take a look at some of the largest companies now that is rewarding investors. Companies such as Apple and Facebook are rewarding investors with price appreciation and also dividends over the last 10 years whether it is market crash or not.

 

Final Thoughts By Wealthdojo

Eat your veggies. Trust me, it is good for you.

 

Chengkok is a licensed Financial Services Consultant since 2012. He is an Investment and Critical Illness Specialist. Wealthdojo was created in 2019 to educate and debunk “free financial advice” that was given without context.  

Feel Free To Reach Out To Share Your Thoughts.

Contact: 94316449 (Whatsapp) chengkokoh@gmail.com (Email)
Telegram: Wealthdojo [Continuous Learning Channel]
Reviews: About Me

The views and opinions expressed in this publication are those of the author and do not reflect the official policy or position of any other agency, organisation, employer or company. Assumptions made in the analysis are not reflective of the position of any entity other than the author.

How To Identify Bullshit Investors Say

How To Identify Bullshit Investors Say

This might be an uncomfortable read for some. If you might take umbrage at what you are going to read, I suggest heading to other friendlier parts of my website such as “what’s holding us back in our wealth management journey”.

The market don’t really make sense on a day to day basis. Benjamin Graham, father of value investing famously said this. “In the short run, the market is a voting machine. In the long run, the market is a weighing machine.” Personally, I agree with this and that you should really invest in the companies you want to see grow in the long run.

Alas, in real life we have plenty of distraction coming from our friends, “Gurus“, Gamestop, Bitcoin, Elon Musk (just to name a few).

On the ground, here is a story of bullshit that I hear one investor says and here’s how to identify them.

How To Identify Bullshit Investors Say
How To Identify Bullshit Investors Say: Hulk Says BULLSHIT!

 

There are 4 stages of Bullshit that you get to hear. It follows very closely to the market cycle.

4 Stages Of Market Cycle
4 Stages Of Market Cycle

The most noise happens typically at stage 3. One recent example would be the market crash of March/April 2020. Let’s start here.

Stage 3: This time is different. Wait for confirmation.

As Sir John Templeton puts it, this time is different is the 4 most dangerous words in investing. During March/April 2020, the stock market crashed. People were pulling money out of the market because they felt that COVID19 was going to have a significant impact of the economy.

During a crash, the best thing to do is to keep calm and learn how to endure the correction. As easy as it may sound, it is not easy to do. I know of people who are pulling out or adopting the stay at the side saying “this time is different”. The crash will be longer than usual and this is the first time (not really) that a virus has made it’s way worldwide. Every sensible country is in a lockdown. The entire economy is in a standstill. This situation will drag on. It is better to keep some in cash.

Most people don’t do anything (if they have the capital) or they may take losses to protect their capital because “this time is different”. This is bullshit because this is the best time to invest in companies you always wanted to.

Stage 4: Some leverage is good debt. Let’s 10X our capital.

Things are recovering right now. People are starting to enter the market. At this stage, most people would be making money from the stock market easily. If you know someone who have invested from May 2020 to Dec 2020, they will be bragging how they can be financially free in no time. They are looking into leverage instruments because they are looking to 10X their capital!!

This is the time to go long because economies are recovering. Some sectors have benefited and it is obvious (in hindsight) that they are benefiting (WFH stocks like zoom). You are a little late but there is still some time to enter. People all around somehow are making money and you don’t want to left out.

More bullshit because greed is now fueling the stock market. This is the easiest time to make money no doubt. Talk is cheap, people are showing off their results on Facebook. Almost everyone is making money here.

Stage 1: Value Investing is Dead. You got to pay more for quality.

This the most scary part of the cycle (in my opinion). The market is over-heated and valuation are rich. The narration here is “you got to pay more for quality”. As more and more people starts to pay more, the price of the stocks starts to go higher and higher. Cathie Woods starts taking central stage here in 2020 with her ARK funds outperforming all major indices. People starts to buy into the idea and invest with higher prices.

The ultimate bullshit because prices are going to the moon now. No one is concern about fundamentals. Everyone is waiting for the stock to gap up and celebrate until…

Stage 2: You need to have diamond hands. Valuation is everything.

For some reason, earning beats don’t increase the stock price anymore. Although the results are fantastic, stock prices are dropping. Stock prices drops and people start to think that there is a “sector rotation”. Here, you will need to have diamond hands as you have bought the stocks are “good prices” already.

However, stock prices continue to drop. Warren Buffett takes central stage again. Gurus are saying valuation is everything. Prices continue to go down and people gets worried. People begin to sell in companies that they have less conviction in.

Bullshit because it is too late to notice that valuation was too rich before.

 

Final Thoughts By Wealthdojo

The cycle continues on. I heard this bullshit in the last one year all from the same investor. I cannot imagine how inconsistent his/her investment strategy is and how many people have lost money because of him/her.

To put things into context, the above advice are good advices except that it is adapted conveniently to sound smart in the market. Investment is not all rosy and sunshine. It comes with rains and storms. We need to learn when is the best time to plan the seeds, when is the best time to wait and when is the best time to celebrate. A far sighted plan is needed to prepare oneself in their investment journey. Average investors learn from their own mistakes over time. The best ones learn from other people’s mistake using their time and experience. Investment is not complicated. You just need to learn from the best and apply it.

All the best to everyone enduring this correction.

 

Chengkok is a licensed Financial Services Consultant since 2012. He is an Investment and Critical Illness Specialist. Wealthdojo was created in 2019 to educate and debunk “free financial advice” that was given without context.  

Feel Free To Reach Out To Share Your Thoughts.

Contact: 94316449 (Whatsapp) chengkokoh@gmail.com (Email)
Telegram: Wealthdojo [Continuous Learning Channel]
Reviews: About Me

The views and opinions expressed in this publication are those of the author and do not reflect the official policy or position of any other agency, organisation, employer or company. Assumptions made in the analysis are not reflective of the position of any entity other than the author.

Is Dividend Investing Outdated

Is Dividend Investing Outdated?

Dividend investing shares a close resemblance to what Stereotypical Asian parents’ advice on wealth management.

Is Dividend Investing Outdated
Is Dividend Investing Outdated

Get a good job in a big company -> Invest in big stable company

Get a decent salary -> Get a decent dividend yield

Life is more stable -> Your returns have little volatility and you can expect stable returns

Probably that is why the Straits Times Index (STI) consists mostly of “good, stable” companies that gives “good, decent” dividends over the years. Companies such as Grab (headquarters in Singapore), SEA Group or more commonly known as Shopee (Founder Forrest Li is a Chinese-Born Singaporean) and Razer Inc (Singaporean-American multinational technology company) are heading or have headed over to other countries to list their companies.

Is Dividend Investing Outdated SE Share Price
Is Dividend Investing Outdated SE Share Price (1479% Returns over 4 years!!)

Are you missing out?

What is Dividend Investing?

A dividends is a payout from the company’s net profit. The payout comes in fixed frequency, often quarterly or half yearly. You can choose to receive the dividends in cash or reinvest into the business with your dividends.

Take for example: DBS Singapore (SGX: D05).

I did an analysis last year on DBS. Click here to read more. DBS is currently traded at ~$30 (30 April 2021). The dividend yield is 2.45%. If you invested $1,000,000 into DBS, a dividend yield of 2.45% means that every year you can expect to receive $24,500 from DBS. This is a decent money of money for your retirement.

Is Dividend Investing Outdated DBS Share Price
Is Dividend Investing Outdated DBS Share Price

It is wise to assume that mature rational companies will only payout dividends when there is a positive net profit. They are already beyond the growth phrase where they might need to reinvest into R&D etc. (Do note the following if you are investing in foreign companies for dividends)

However, if you look at the price trend from 1 Feb 2000 ($21.30) until today 30 April 2021 ($30). This works to be 1.64% CAGR for the last 21 years (without taking into account dividend yield). Is this method of investing outdated?

Dividend Investing Is Not Fast Return Game

Dividend investing typically require a large amount of capital. To get a return of $24,500, you would need $1,000,000 worth of capital. It would take approximately 40 years for you to break even from your investment. However, this might be suitable for people who have a large amount of capital and are passive when it comes to investing.

Upon identifying a matured company that is giving good dividends, you will be able to enjoy the dividends for years to come.

Looking at the way industries are disrupted now, it is more relevant than ever to identify matured companies that still keeping up to date.

Stock Price Is Still Relevant

Even if the company is decent, share price still matters. You do not want to see a company whose share price is going down. Psychologically, this is proven to be extremely hard for most people. I know of people who are unable to sleep at night because of a 10% drop in one of their position.

Secondly, your capital is being depreciated as the share price goes down. Dividend investing requires one to have a steel resolve (as much as those invested in growth companies).

Quality Company Matters

At the end of the day, picking quality companies matters (whether it is a value or growth company). You would want to invest in a company that has a long term horizon, preserving its’ market share or even growing its’ market share. This would mean that your dividend will probably increase as the companies serves more market.

 

Final Thoughts By Wealthdojo

Dividend investing is still relevant to those investor who seeks out dividends as a way of generating passive income. At the end of the day, it matters more on the quality of the company than the dividend it is currently giving.

Growth investing and value investing are the most popular themes in investment market today. Some people prefer one over the other. Personally, I would say why not both?

There are many instruments and assets that are available to you. Are you aware of them?

Wishing you a good May Day.

 

Chengkok is a licensed Financial Services Consultant since 2012. He is an Investment and Critical Illness Specialist. Wealthdojo was created in 2019 to educate and debunk “free financial advice” that was given without context.  

Feel Free To Reach Out To Share Your Thoughts.

Contact: 94316449 (Whatsapp) chengkokoh@gmail.com (Email)
Telegram: Wealthdojo [Continuous Learning Channel]
Reviews: About Me

The views and opinions expressed in this publication are those of the author and do not reflect the official policy or position of any other agency, organisation, employer or company. Assumptions made in the analysis are not reflective of the position of any entity other than the author.

CapitaLand Restructuring Is it good or bad

CapitaLand Restructuring: Is it good or bad?

CapitaLand Restructuring Is it good or bad
CapitaLand Restructuring Is it good or bad

CapitaLand shares was halted on Monday morning (22nd March 2021). Along with it, Ascott Residence Trust, Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust, Ascendas Reit, CapitaLand China Trust and Ascendas India Trust, was also halted pending a released of an announcement.

On the same day, we got an answer. CapitaLand Limited (SGX: C31)is going to be restructured. In this article, we are going to figure out what is happening and also what is the good or bad about this restructuring. Should it be part of our wealth management journey or in our SRS portfolio?

Disclaimer: This is not a buy/sell recommendation. I do not hold any SGX:C31 shares.

 

Brief Information About CapitaLand Limited

CapitaLand owns 1090 properties in 242 cities spanning over 35 countries (as of 23 March 2021). It is the 3rd largest listed global REIM and Asia’s largest REIM.

They own a stable collection of REITs and business trusts comprising of CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust, Ascendas Real Estate Investment Trust, Ascott Residence Trust, CapitaLand China Trust, Ascendas India Trust and CapitaLand Malaysia Mall Trust.

CapitaLand Restructuring Top Real Estate Investment Managers
CapitaLand Restructuring Top Real Estate Investment Managers

That being said, the share price trend has been extremely disappointing over the long horizon. Most investors probably bought into CapitaLand for it’s dividend yields.

CapitaLand Restructuring Share Prices History
CapitaLand Restructuring Share Prices History

 

Summary of Restructuring: The Development Arm is going to be Privatized

CapitaLand Restructuring Development Arm Privatized
CapitaLand Restructuring Development Arm Privatized

Shareholders will now see the development part of the business privatized. They will be “compensated” with a combination of $0.951 cash, 1x CLIM (CapitaLand Investment Management) shares and also 0.155x CICT (CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust) shares. It does sounds like a very good deal.

(The assumption here is that CLIM trades at a fair value of 1x NAV. I’m trying to find data to share how CapitaLand has traded on NAV over the years. Do let me know if you can find the source for this.)

CapitaLand Restructuring Proposed Offer
CapitaLand Restructuring Proposed Offer

According to the Chairman of CLA Real Estate Holding response in the news release, the privatization will provide flexibility for the development business to pursue longer gestation and capital-intensive projects.

This is where I felt a bit uncomfortable with the restructuring which I will explain below.

 

The Good Part About The Restructuring

Firstly, I believe that the restructuring is excellent if you think about the conglomerate discount that CapitaLand may be facing. Conglomerates often trade at a discount versus companies that are more focused on their core products and services.

Mr Lee Chee Koon, Group CEO of CapitaLand Group says the same thing but in another way. As listed REIMs generally trade at a premium to their NAVs in the capital markets, we are confident that CLIM will be able to drive returns for our shareholders given its scale, capabilities and a strong ecosystem.” (Developers are usually traded at a discount).

Secondly, for those that feel that the development part of the business is hard to analyze or “risky”, this new structure becomes a “cleaner” and easier to analyze. There is more certainty in CLIM and probably that’s what local investors want. They will be paid a mixture of cash and CICT stocks for the development part of the business.

 

The Not So Good Part About The Restructuring

The growth driver of the company (CLIM) is now gone and the price CLA is paying is cheap (in my own opinion). I personally feel that the $1.279 (cash + CICT shares) are a cheap price to pay for the development arm of CapitaLand. Effectively, if CapitaLand were to grow in future, they have to then acquire new development property from (guess who) the CLA. I have no figures to back any statement down below so treat the following opinion with caution.

At this moment, the price for the development arm is not priced in or in fact, unknown to a retail investor.

I’m certain in the distant future that CLA will sell and offload some of the properties that they are developing now back to CapitaLand. According to FY2020 CapitaLand results, the development arm is pivoting towards ‘new economy’ asset classes. S$3.4 billion of new investments were made in business park, logistics etc. There are mentions of investing in Japan’s logistics sector (completing in 4Q 2022), Korea Data Centre Fund 1 (invest in an offmarket data centre development project near Seoul in South Korea), Two Class A tech office properties in San Francisco, etc. I believe these are interesting developments which may be sold back to CapitaLand in future.

Since the development arm is privatised, we will no longer have a visuals or information on properties/land that are developed. It might be difficult to see if the cost are justifiable or not.

There is also no more vested interest for CLA to give CLIM a good price for those properties. This means that properties that are acquired by CLIM moving forward may be more richly valued and CLIM may need to fund these properties using issuing of new shares.

 

Final Thoughts By Wealthdojo

On a business point of view, I personally feel that CLIM may not be as attractive as before.

On a share price point of view, I believe if people value CLIM differently moving forward, we may see the share price performing better.

If you do have any other views, whether it is similar or contrasting, I would love to hear from you in the comments below.

Invest safe.

 

Chengkok is a licensed Financial Services Consultant since 2012. He is an Investment and Critical Illness Specialist. Wealthdojo was created in 2019 to educate and debunk “free financial advice” that was given without context.  

Feel Free To Reach Out To Share Your Thoughts.

Contact: 94316449 (Whatsapp) chengkokoh@gmail.com (Email)
Telegram: Wealthdojo [Continuous Learning Channel]
Reviews: About Me

The views and opinions expressed in this publication are those of the author and do not reflect the official policy or position of any other agency, organisation, employer or company. Assumptions made in the analysis are not reflective of the position of any entity other than the author.